Super Tuesday leads to Weary Wednesday

super tuesday

I don’t know about the rest of you, but I’m still trying to make sense out of the election returns from yesterday. Nothing really earthshattering happened, at least not down here in the Lone Star State. But some of the results were “interesting” to say the least and should act as a wake-up call for those who won their respective nominating races. That includes the presidential race.

If I had to point to a winner on the state level, I’d have to say it was Gov. Abbott, even though he wasn’t running. He backed, iirc, 10 candidates. One of his main requirements for his support was that the candidate supported the school voucher program, something Abbott has been trying to get through the state legislature for some time now. Of those 10 candidates, 6 out right won their respective races and will head into the November elections as the Republican candidates. Two others are headed for run-offs. That’s really pretty good, especially at a time when not only the RNC is struggling to figure out if it is the party of Trump or not but the state party finds itself in a battle between the state attorney general, Ken Paxton, and those he has targeted–and actively campaigned against–because they supported the attempt to impeach him.

The US Senate primary went pretty much as I expected. Ted Cruz will once again be the Republican candidate, trying for his third term in the Senate. His opponent will be Congressman Colin Allred. If Cruz looks at the race against Allred like he did the one against Beto, he very well could be in for a tough time. Allred is well-spoken, well-liked, and he ran his primary race not so much against his Democratic opponents as he did against Cruz. That gives him a leg up, one Cruz would be wise not to ignore. He also hits on the hot topics right now: abortion and gun control. It doesn’t matter whose side of the race you’re on, prepare for a bumpy ride all around.

As for the presidential primaries, no one’s surprised that both Biden and Trump took the state. However, some of the numbers coming in, especially for Trump, should be a warning for him and for the RNC. In most of the counties I’ve looked at–and I haven’t looked at them all because Texas has 254 counties–Trump’s numbers weren’t as high as I expected. He hovered in the 70-79% range in some. In others, he was in the 50-69% area. Even in strong Republican counties, he didn’t make as strong of a showing as expected. In many of those counties, Haley came in with 20% or even more in a few.

That number is telling and should be a warning that there are a large number of Republicans–and independents who voted in the Republican primary–who do not want Trump back in office. He needs to find a way to connect with them or he faces losing their votes to the other side. If that happens, we very well be looking at a second term for Biden (which quite possibly means Biden followed by whoever his VP winds up being because there are concerns about his ability to serve out another full term).

As for Biden, where do I begin? Why has there not been a firm commitment to Harris as his running mate? Are we going to find out when the Dems have their convention that he’s picked someone else? Then there are the questions about his health, mental and physical. Will he be able to perform his duties for another two years, much less four? Then there’s the fact he is getting a great deal of push-back from members of his own party over his stand in the Israel/Hamas war, among other things. In other words, the Dems aren’t in any better situation when it comes to satisfaction with their party’s candidate than the Republicans.

While we might know who the candidates are likely to be in November, we don’t know how the election will shake out. All we know for certain is that we are going to see more than our fill of political ads, have more than anyone should of political calls. Get ready for the almost constant urge to throw something at the TV.

Election season is upon us and, if the last presidential election was any indication, it is going to be a very bumpy ride, no matter what side of the political fence you’re on.

6 Comments

  1. Here in AZ our Presidential Primary is on March 13 as the regular primary is in August. However, we have early voting so I dropped off my ballot last week. Because I refuse to vote for either The Buffoon or for The Plagiarist, my votes are usually not counted. However, I voted for Nikki Haley in the primary.

    Back in ’16 with a choice between The Buffoon and The Murderess, I wrote in my wife’s name because Election Day fell on her birthday. In ’20, I voted for “The other Jo”, Jo Jorgensen. With this year looking to be a repeat of ’20 with The Buffoon and The Plagiarist, I’ll have to see who else will be on the November ballot; right now I’m leaning towards the No Labels Party.

  2. I think it’s hard to project what happens in the primaries to the general election. In the primaries you are limited to one side of the ticket, so you don’t get a sense of how much support there might actually be for a candidate vs. other party candidate. Plus, you don’t get nearly the turnout, especially of independent voters, that you get in the general election.

    1. Normally, I’d agree with you. However, this year’s presidential race, for primaries at least, is so one-sided for each party I think you can make some educated guesses at least. As for turnout, I’m not convinced we’ll see much better in November unless something happens to galvanize the electorate. But that’s me, being very pessimistic right now.

  3. When I lived in California, I registered for 1 party and my wife for the other one. We then discussed those running in each party’s primary and picked the best in each. However, CA now has an “open” primary and only the top two vote-getters are allowed on the November ballot. Only the presidential election is allowed to have a candidate from each party (all other Federal offices are restricted to the top two primary winners). This was designed for two reasons: first to make sure no third party ever became a contender, and second to make sure that the Democratic party remains in power of a de facto one-party state by limiting independent voters to voting for the Democrats majority. We moved to Arizona.

    1. Cali is so “special” and I have no doubt you’re right when you say the changes were to help keep the Dems in power or to at least to maintain a two-party system instead of letting independents play.

  4. Actually it was for more of a SEMBLANCE of a two-party system. The last reapportionment made most districts largely Democrat, some largely Republican, and a small few “swing districts”. However the total of the latter two groups are not enough to out-number the first group in the vast majority of elections. Thus the Democrats have pretty much achieved their goal of a de facto one-party California People’s Republic.

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